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Nhan đề: ASEAN Dynamism: Agricultural Transformation and Food Security 2040
Tác giả: Golan, Amnon
Kohli, Harinder
Từ khoá: Agricultural
Food Security
Tùng thư/Số báo cáo: Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies January 2013;Volume 5, Issue 1, Page 3-21
Tóm tắt: This article assesses performance of the agricultural sector in Vietnam, Indonesia, and the Philippines (VIP countries) during the period 1980–2011, futureprospects up to 2040 and food security in these countries and in the ASEAN region. Analysis of the past performance and likely future scenarios was carried out withthe aid of the Centennial Group’s Global Growth Model after introducing several modifications to address the needs of the agricultural sector. Our modeling efforts were divided into two parts. The first part comprised a macro-economic analysis of future scenarios at the global level and for VIP countries. The second part included analysis at the country level of future total factor roductivity (TFP), agricultural production and changes in national food consumption habits. As a countercheck use was also made of IFPRI’s updated IMPACT Model, and in the case of the Philippines, the AMPLE model.
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Appears in Collections:Agriculture and rural development

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